Saturday, February 2, 2008

Super Tues. prediction(s)

After spending the day listening to opinion, and hemming and hawing about the outcome of Tuesday's big primary, I have a few overriding predictions:

1. Yours truly will be voting for the Big Hill in our state's primary. Barring a last minute voting booth mind-fucking.

2. My prediction is that Obama's latest surge post-S. Carolina primary will propel him to do well in many states, however not well enough to finish the Big Hill or even beat her on the sheer number of states. I see him doing well with the delegate count though, enough so that the race will be tight and will go on. I think Hill's latest performance in the debate combined with her faux-Florida primary win, blunts Obama's momentum just enough. It also doesn't hurt that Obama's debate skills are not great, and that he's seemingly been less than gentlemently towards Hill in the debates. He's shown some dismissiveness that has can be telling to a smart audience or a dumb audience (see, me!) after it's been pointed out numerous times by the video vultures.

3. McCain will undoubtedly kick Mitt's ass handily, perhaps even winning in Mitt's "home" state of Massachusetts. McCain has this all but locked-up barring one of his legendary temper tantrums caught on film. McCain is known to have temper tantrums and I can only hope we see his temper flare in the General Election. Hell, even that trophy wife of his reportedly has a freaking "grudge list." How pathetic and lame.

Finally, for the record, I have not looked at any polls to see how accurate these predictions may be. I don't listen to polls, nor do I read them. All this analysis comes straight from my gullet. And analyzing how a stupid body politic will undoubtedly "see" an election choice.

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